2026 United States Senate election in Michigan

2026 United States Senate election in Michigan

November 3, 2026
 
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Gary Peters
Democratic



The 2026 United States Senate election in Michigan will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Michigan. Incumbent Democratic Senator Gary Peters declined to seek re-election to a third term.[1] Peters was first elected with 54.6% of the vote in 2014, and re-elected with 49.9% of the vote in 2020.

Along with Georgia, this is one of two Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state that Donald Trump won in the 2024 presidential election, winning 49.73% of the vote to Kamala Harris's 48.31%.

Background

Michigan is considered to be a battleground state. Most recently in the 2020 and 2024 presidential elections, the state backed Joe Biden by 2.8% and Donald Trump by 1.4%, respectively.[2]

Both parties have seen success in the state in recent years, although Democrats have had more success outside of presidential races. Democrats control both of Michigan's U.S. Senate seats, all statewide executive offices, and the state senate. Republicans control the Michigan House of Representatives and hold a majority in Michigan's U.S. House delegation.[3] Republicans have not won a Michigan U.S. Senate race since 1994 and have not won this seat since 1972.[4]

As one of only two seats up held by a Democrat in a state that voted for Trump in 2024, Michigan is considered a key Senate battleground in 2026.[5][6]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

Declined

Endorsements

Abdul El-Sayed
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Mallory McMorrow
State legislators
Haley Stevens
Statewide officials
U.S. representatives
Organizations
Declined to endorse
U.S. senators

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Abdul
El-Sayed
Mallory
McMorrow
Haley
Stevens
Joe
Tate
Undecided
NRSC (R)[33] July 4-7, 2025 582 (LV) ± 3.0% 22% 11% 24% 1% 42%
Global Strategy Group (D)[34][A] May 28 − June 2, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 15% 20% 24% 4% 37%
Glengariff Group[35][B] May 5−8, 2025 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 22% 14% 34% 30%
24%[b] 12% 34% 30%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Pete
Buttigieg
Haley
Stevens
Gretchen
Whitmer
Other Undecided
Mitchell Research[36][C] March 13, 2025 303 (LV) ± 5.6% 2% 59% 22%[c] 17%
Target Insyght[37] February 3–8, 2025 344 (V) ± 5.7% 27% 4% 43% 26%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Announcement pending

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

Declined

Endorsements

Mike Rogers
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mike Rogers (R) $431,402 $143,297 $523,854
Source: Federal Election Commission[52]

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Tudor
Dixon
Bill
Huizenga
Mike
Rogers
Other Undecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[53][54][D] June 17−19, 2025 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 20% 48% 32%
Glengariff Group[35][B] May 5−8, 2025 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 17% 61% 22%
Mitchell Research[36][C] March 13, 2025 281 (LV) ± 5.8% 28% 9% 25% 14%[d] 24%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[55] February 17–19, 2025 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 40% 36% 24%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[56] Tossup February 20, 2025
Inside Elections[57] Battleground February 13, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[58] Tossup March 12, 2025
Race To The WH[59] Tilt D April 27, 2025

Polling

Haley Stevens vs. Mike Rogers

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Haley
Stevens (D)
Mike
Rogers (R)
Other /
Undecided
Normington Petts (D)[60][61][E] June 12–16, 2025 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 47%[e] 45% 8%
49%[f] 48% 3%
Glengariff Group[35][B] May 5−8, 2025 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 44% 11%
49%[b] 43% 8%
Target Insyght[62][C] March 3–6, 2025 600 (V) ± 4.0% 35% 41% 24%

Abdul El-Sayed vs. Mike Rogers

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Abdul
El-Sayed (D)
Mike
Rogers (R)
Other /
Undecided
Glengariff Group[35][B] May 5−8, 2025 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% 47% 12%
45%[b] 47% 8%

Mallory McMorrow vs. Mike Rogers

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Mallory
McMorrow (D)
Mike
Rogers (R)
Other /
Undecided
Normington Petts (D)[60][61][E] June 12–16, 2025 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 44%[e] 48% 8%
51%[f] 47% 2%
Glengariff Group[35][B] May 5−8, 2025 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 42% 46% 12%
46%[b] 44% 10%
Hypothetical polling

Haley Stevens vs. Bill Huizenga

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Haley
Stevens (D)
Bill
Huizenga (R)
Other /
Undecided
Glengariff Group[35][B] May 5−8, 2025 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 39% 16%
48%[b] 39% 13%

Abdul El-Sayed vs. Bill Huizenga

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Abdul
El-Sayed (D)
Bill
Huizenga (R)
Other /
Undecided
Glengariff Group[35][B] May 5−8, 2025 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% 41% 18%
44%[b] 41% 15%

Mallory McMorrow vs. Bill Huizenga

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Mallory
McMorrow (D)
Bill
Huizenga (R)
Other /
Undecided
Glengariff Group[35][B] May 5−8, 2025 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% 41% 18%
45%[b] 40% 15%

Dana Nessel vs. Mike Rogers

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Dana
Nessel (D)
Mike
Rogers (R)
Other /
Undecided
Mitchell Research[36][C] March 13, 2025 688 (LV) ± 3.7% 45% 44% 11%

Dana Nessel vs. Tudor Dixon

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Dana
Nessel (D)
Tudor
Dixon (R)
Other /
Undecided
Mitchell Research[36][C] March 13, 2025 688 (LV) ± 3.7% 45% 45% 10%

Pete Buttigieg vs. Mike Rogers

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Mike
Rogers (R)
Other /
Undecided
Target Insyght[62][C] March 3–6, 2025 600 (V) ± 4.0% 46% 44% 10%
EPIC-MRA[63] February 3–8, 2025 600 (V) ± 4.0% 41% 47% 12%

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Brian Posthumus

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Gretchen
Whitmer (D)
Brian
Posthumus (R)
Other /
Undecided
Mitchell Research[36][C] March 13, 2025 688 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 41% 12%

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Mike Rogers

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Gretchen
Whitmer (D)
Mike
Rogers (R)
Other /
Undecided
Mitchell Research[36][C] March 13, 2025 688 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 44% 9%
Target Insyght[62][C] March 3–6, 2025 600 (V) ± 4.0% 42% 41% 17%

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Peter Meijer

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Gretchen
Whitmer (D)
Peter
Meijer (R)
Other /
Undecided
Mitchell Research[36][C] March 13, 2025 688 (LV) ± 3.7% 46% 40% 14%

Gretchen Whitmer vs. Tudor Dixon

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Gretchen
Whitmer (D)
Tudor
Dixon (R)
Other /
Undecided
Mitchell Research[36][C] March 13, 2025 688 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 46% 7%

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ a b c d e f g Among "definite voters"
  3. ^ Dana Nessel with 13%; Mallory McMorrow with 6%; Hillary Scholten with 3%
  4. ^ Peter Meijer with 8%; Kevin Rinke with 4%; Bryan Posthumus with 2%; Jonathon Lindsey with 0%
  5. ^ a b Among uninformed voters
  6. ^ a b Among informed voters

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll sponsored by McMorrow's campaign
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h Poll sponsored by The Detroit Regional Chamber
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Poll conducted for MIRS News
  4. ^ Poll commissioned by First Principles Digital PAC, which supports Rogers
  5. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Yes Michigan Super PAC

References

  1. ^ a b Burke, Melissa Nann (January 28, 2025). "Michigan's Gary Peters won't seek reelection to U.S. Senate. Here's why". The Detroit News. Archived from the original on January 28, 2025. Retrieved January 28, 2025.
  2. ^ "Michigan Presidential Election Results". The New York Times. November 5, 2024. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved January 29, 2025.
  3. ^ "Democrats lose trifecta in Michigan, hobbling Gov. Whitmer's agenda". AP News. November 6, 2024. Retrieved January 29, 2025.
  4. ^ Spangler, Todd (January 28, 2025). "Michigan's Gary Peters won't run for US Senate reelection next year". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved January 28, 2025.
  5. ^ Gans, Jared (November 28, 2024). "7 most competitive Senate races in 2026". The Hill. Retrieved January 28, 2025.
  6. ^ "Democratic Sen. Gary Peters won't run for re-election in battleground Michigan". NBC News. January 29, 2025. Retrieved January 29, 2025.
  7. ^ Wu, Nicholas (April 17, 2025). "Abdul El-Sayed launches Michigan Senate campaign". Politico. Retrieved April 17, 2025.
  8. ^ Kamisar, Ben (April 2, 2025). "Mallory McMorrow jumps into Michigan's Senate race with a call for change in the Democratic Party". NBC News. Retrieved April 2, 2025.
  9. ^ Bowman, Bridget (April 22, 2025). "Rep. Haley Stevens launches Michigan Senate run, criticizing 'chaos' of Trump's tariffs". NBC News. Retrieved April 22, 2025.
  10. ^ Volmert, Isabella (May 11, 2025). "Lawmaker from Detroit joins crowded race for US Senate". Associated Press. Retrieved May 11, 2025.
  11. ^ a b c d e f Mutnick, Ally; Schneider, Elena; Wu, Nicholas; Crampton, Liz (January 28, 2025). "Open Senate seat puts Democrats on defense in Michigan". Politico. Retrieved January 28, 2025.
  12. ^ "Top of the Hour". National Journal. February 2, 2025. Retrieved February 5, 2025. Nessel spokesperson Kimberly Rush told Hotline that the attorney general...'is exploring the open U.S. Senate seat'
  13. ^ a b Burke, Melissa (April 10, 2025). "McDonald Rivet won't run for U.S. Senate in Michigan". The Detroit News. Retrieved April 10, 2025.
  14. ^ Nir, David; Singer, Jeff (March 21, 2025). "Morning Digest, sponsored by Liftoff Campaigns: How Dick Durbin plans to decide whether to seek a sixth term". The Downballot. Retrieved March 21, 2025. Former Democratic Rep. Andy Levin tells Inside Elections' Jacob Rubashkin that he's received encouragement to run for...Senate, governor, attorney general, and two different House districts—the 10th and 11th.
  15. ^ Bobic, Igor (January 28, 2025). "Michigan Democratic Sen. Gary Peters To Retire In 2026". HuffPost. Retrieved January 28, 2025.
  16. ^ Marquez, Alexandra; Terkel, Amanda; Gomez, Henry (March 13, 2025). "Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg says he won't run for Senate or governor in Michigan". NBC News. Retrieved March 14, 2025.
  17. ^ a b c Burke, Melissa Nann; Mauger, Craig (January 28, 2025). "Here's who could run for Michigan's open U.S. Senate seat in 2026 ― and who's already out". The Detroit News. Retrieved January 28, 2025 – via Killeen Daily Herald.
  18. ^ Kamisar, Ben (March 11, 2025). "Michigan Lt. Gov. Garlin Gilchrist launches a run for governor, setting up a major 2026 race". NBC News. Retrieved March 11, 2025.
  19. ^ Nann Burke, Melissa (March 25, 2025). "Scholten won't run for Michigan's open U.S. Senate seat". The Detroit News. Retrieved March 25, 2025.
  20. ^ a b Solender, Andrew (January 28, 2025). "Multiple House Democrats eyeing runs for Gary Peters' Senate seat". Axios. Retrieved January 28, 2025.
  21. ^ Weigel, David (April 17, 2025). "Bernie-backed El-Sayed runs for Senate in Michigan". Semafor. Retrieved April 17, 2025.
  22. ^ a b Corbett, Jessica (April 17, 2025). "Ready to 'Fight for the Working Class': Sanders Endorses Abdul El-Sayed for US Senate". Common Dreams. Retrieved April 17, 2025.
  23. ^ a b c Adam, Tareq (July 6, 2025). "Abdul El-Sayed raises funds and hopes in Dearborn for 2026 U.S. Senate run in Michigan". The Arab American News. Retrieved July 8, 2025.
  24. ^ a b "The Next 50 Endorses Michigan State Senator Mallory McMorrow for U.S. Senate". April 2, 2025.
  25. ^ "House GOP staff training kicks off. Plus, a Michigan Senate endorsement".
  26. ^ "Elect Democratic Women Endorses Rep. Haley Stevens for U.S. Senate in Michigan".
  27. ^ "Nancy Pelosi backs Stevens for Senate in Michigan".
  28. ^ Murphy, Mary Ellen (April 24, 2025). "Rep. Scholten Endorses Haley Stevens for U.S. Senate". WGHN. Retrieved April 24, 2025.
  29. ^ "AIPAC Political Portal". AIPAC.
  30. ^ Cohen, Max (April 22, 2025). "Stevens launches Michigan Senate run". Punchbowl News. Retrieved July 7, 2025.
  31. ^ Glueck, Katie (April 22, 2025). "Rep. Haley Stevens Joins an Increasingly Crowded Michigan Senate Race". Retrieved July 7, 2025.
  32. ^ Meerschaert, Kevin (April 28, 2025). "Sloktin won't make endorsement on Governor or Senate primary". WEMU. Retrieved April 28, 2025.
  33. ^ Pack, Adam (July 8, 2025). "EXCLUSIVE: Poll Shows Dem Primary Slugfest Brewing For Senate Seat GOP Seeks To Flip". Retrieved July 9, 2025 – via The Daily Caller.
  34. ^ Baumann, Andrew; Bell, Melissa; Jaconetty, Nicole (June 5, 2025). "New Poll: MI Senate Dem primary within MOE. McMorrow well-positioned to expand her support". Global Strategy Group. Retrieved June 7, 2025 – via Politico.
  35. ^ a b c d e f g h "Detroit Regional Chamber/Glengariff Group May 2025 Political Survey Report" (PDF). Detroit Regional Chamber. May 11, 2025. Retrieved May 27, 2025.
  36. ^ a b c d e f g h "Whitmer/Nessel – Dixon/Rogers Top Candidates for US Senate". OneDrive. March 19, 2025. Retrieved March 21, 2025.
  37. ^ "Poll: Jocelyn Benson Dominates Mike Duggan in Governor's Race". Deadline Detroit. March 8, 2025. Retrieved March 9, 2025.
  38. ^ a b Spangler, Todd (April 14, 2025). "Mike Rogers makes it official, he's running again for Michigan's next open US Senate seat". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved May 18, 2025. Dr. Kent Benham, a dentist in the Deerfield area, has also filed to run as a Republican, as has Fred Heurtebise, of Luther, whose website describes him as a welder and engineer.
  39. ^ Robinson, Taylor (April 14, 2025). "Mike Rogers Runs for Senate in Michigan After a Close 2024 Loss". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved April 14, 2025.
  40. ^ Mauger, Craig; LeBlanc, Beth; Nann Burke, Melissa (June 21, 2025). "Insider: Who might join Michigan's race for governor next?". The Detroit News. Archived from the original on June 22, 2025. Retrieved June 22, 2025. U.S. Rep. Bill Huizenga, R-Holland, has indicated he plans to launch a Senate bid next month.
  41. ^ Mauger, Craig (April 11, 2025). "Detroit pastor who prayed at Trump's inauguration considering U.S. Senate bid". The Detroit News. Retrieved April 12, 2025.
  42. ^ a b Hermani, Jordyn (January 28, 2025). "Michigan faces new Senate battle as Gary Peters opts against reelection". Bridge Michigan. Retrieved January 28, 2025.
  43. ^ a b c Kamisar, Ben; Gomez, Henry J. (January 28, 2025). "Democratic Sen. Gary Peters won't run for re-election in battleground Michigan". NBC News. Retrieved January 28, 2025.
  44. ^ a b JJ Curry, Ebony (January 28, 2025). "Gary Peters Steps Aside: Michigan Braces for a Defining 2026 Senate Race". The Michigan Chronicle. Retrieved January 28, 2025.
  45. ^ Foster, Wells (April 15, 2025). "Former AG Mike Cox announces run for governor". WILX. Retrieved April 15, 2025.
  46. ^ Sergent, Katie (July 9, 2025). "Tudor Dixon will not run for Michigan governor, U.S. Senate in 2026". WWMT. Retrieved July 9, 2025.
  47. ^ a b Burke, Melissa Nann (January 30, 2025). "Tony Dungy spikes U.S. Senate campaign speculation, Mike Rogers 'considering' another bid". The Detroit News. Retrieved January 30, 2025.
  48. ^ Nir, David. "Morning Digest: Michigan Republican who fell just short in '24 will run for Senate again". www.the-downballot.com. Retrieved April 15, 2025.
  49. ^ a b Nir, David; Singer, Jeff (April 15, 2025). "Morning Digest: Michigan Republican who fell just short in '24 will run for Senate again". The Downballot. Retrieved April 15, 2025.
  50. ^ "Playbook: Russia's Pearl Harbor". Politico.
  51. ^ a b Touchberry, Ramsey (June 26, 2025). "House GOP duo endorses Rogers for Michigan Senate run". Retrieved June 27, 2025.
  52. ^ "2026 Election United States Senate - Michigan". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved April 23, 2025.
  53. ^ Mutnick, Ally (June 26, 2025). "Rogers up big in internal Fabrizio poll". Punchbowl News. Retrieved June 26, 2025.
  54. ^ "Michigan U.S. Senate Primary Poll". First Principles Digital. June 23, 2025. Retrieved June 26, 2025 – via Punchbowl News.
  55. ^ Fabrizio, Tony; Lee, David; Tunis, Travis (March 11, 2025). "Conservative base of GOP drives Dixon to lead in Senate primary race". Politico. Retrieved March 13, 2025.
  56. ^ "2026 CPR Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 13, 2025.
  57. ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 14, 2025.
  58. ^ "2026 Senate ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved February 13, 2025.
  59. ^ "2026 Senate Forecast". Race to the WH. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
  60. ^ a b Stanton, Andrew (July 7, 2025). "Mike Rogers' Chances of Beating Democrats to Flip Michigan Senate Seat—Poll". Newsweek. Retrieved July 7, 2025.
  61. ^ a b Normington, Jill (July 6, 2025). "Poll Results in Michigan U.S. Senate Race". Normington Petts. Retrieved July 7, 2025.
  62. ^ a b c "Poll: Jocelyn Benson Dominates Mike Duggan in Governor's Race". Deadline Detroit. March 8, 2025. Retrieved March 8, 2025.
  63. ^ Spangler, Todd (February 11, 2025). "Michigan poll: Democrats face uncertain road in 2026 races". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved February 11, 2025.
Official campaign websites