2026 United States Senate election in Oregon

2026 United States Senate election in Oregon

November 3, 2026
 
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Jeff Merkley
Democratic



The 2026 United States Senate election in Oregon will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Oregon. Incumbent senator Jeff Merkley, who was re-elected with 56.9% of the vote in 2020, has not announced if he intends to run for a fourth term.

Background

Oregon is generally considered to be a strongly blue state at the federal and state levels, having not elected a Republican to the U.S. senate since 2002 (or any Republican statewide since 2016). Democrats control both U.S. Senate seats, all statewide offices, all but one seat in Oregon's U.S. House congressional delegation, and, since January 2025, hold supermajorities in both houses of the Oregon Legislative Assembly.[1] Merkley was first elected in 2008 defeating then-incumbent Gordon Smith, and was re-elected twice, in 2014 and 2020.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Filed paperwork

Potential

Declined

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jeff Merkley (D) $3,730,240 $3,044,327 $4,491,474
Source: Federal Election Commission[6]

Republican primary

Candidates

Filed paperwork

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Inside Elections[8] Solid D Feb 20, 2025
The Cook Political Report[9] Solid D Feb 13, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D Mar 12, 2025
Race To The WH[11] Safe D Apr 27, 2025

References

  1. ^ Shumway, Julia (2024-11-27). "Democrats win supermajority in Oregon House, Senate, with narrow win in Woodburn • Oregon Capital Chronicle". Oregon Capital Chronicle. Retrieved 2025-01-27.
  2. ^ "Murmurs: Merkley Addresses 2026 Plans". Willamette Week. April 16, 2025. Retrieved April 16, 2025. As usual, Jeff and [his wife], Mary [Sorteberg], will make a formal campaign announcement regarding 2026 sometime this quarter.
  3. ^ "FEC Statement of Candidacy". FEC. November 12, 2020. Retrieved June 27, 2025.
  4. ^ a b Fuentes, Carlos; Edge, Sami (July 7, 2025). "Jeff Merkley hasn't said he'll step down from the U.S. Senate. But some top Oregon Democrats have registered websites just in case". The Oregonian. Retrieved July 7, 2025.
  5. ^ Fuentes, Carlos; Edge, Sami (May 30, 2025). "Jeff Merkley hasn't said he'll step down from the U.S. Senate. But some top Oregon Democrats have registered websites just in case". The Oregonian. Retrieved May 30, 2025.
  6. ^ "2026 Election United States Senate - Oregon". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved April 23, 2025.
  7. ^ "SKELTON, TIMOTHY WILLIAM - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. 1 January 2019. Retrieved 18 May 2025.
  8. ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 14, 2025.
  9. ^ "2026 CPR Senate Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 11, 2025.
  10. ^ "2026 Senate ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved February 13, 2025.
  11. ^ "2026 Senate Forecast". Race to the WH. Retrieved 2025-03-19.