2025 Lisbon local election
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The 2025 Lisbon local election will be held in September or October 2025 to elect the members of the Lisbon City Council
Carlos Moedas will seek a second term as mayor of Lisbon,[1] this time in a coalition with the Liberal Initiative,[2] while the Socialist Party, led by Alexandra Leitão, the Left Bloc, LIVRE and PAN are currently discussing a coalition in order to defeat the center-right coalition.[3][4]
Background
The 2021 Lisbon local election was the biggest surprise of that year's nationwide local elections as Carlos Moedas, the candidate of the centre-right coalition led by the Social Democratic Party, managed to be elected Mayor of Lisbon and put an end to 14 years of Socialist rule.[5] Against all expectations, the centre-right coalition managed to retake the capital by winning 34.3 percent of the votes and 7 councillors. The Socialist Party, in coalition with LIVRE, led by incumbent Mayor Fernando Medina, narrowly lost, achieving 33.3% of the votes and 7 councillors. Meanwhile, the Unitary Democratic Coalition, led for the third time by João Ferreira, had a slight increase in its vote share to 10.5% of the votes and keeping their 2 councillors, while the Left Bloc led by Beatriz Gomes Dias won 6.2% of the votes and kept their sole seat.
Despite his victory, Carlos Moedas had to seek understandings and deals with the other parties represented in the City Council in order to govern.[6]
Electoral system
Each party or coalition must present a list of candidates. The lists are closed and the seats in each municipality are apportioned according to the D'Hondt method. Unlike in national legislative elections, independent lists are allowed to run.[7]
Parties and candidates
| Party/Coalition | Political position |
Candidate | 2021 result | Ref. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | ||||||
| NT | New Times Novos Tempos PPD/PSD, IL, CDS–PP |
Centre-right to right-wing |
Carlos Moedas | 38.5%[b] | 7 / 17
|
[8][2] [1] | |
| PS | Socialist Party Partido Socialista |
Centre-left | Alexandra Leitão | 33.3% | 6 / 17
|
[9] | |
| L | FREE LIVRE |
Center-left to left-wing |
TBD | 1 / 17
|
|||
| CDU | Unitary Democratic Coalition Coligação Democrática Unitária PCP, PEV |
Left-wing to far-left |
João Ferreira | 10.5% | 2 / 17
|
[10] | |
| BE | Left Bloc Bloco de Esquerda |
Left-wing to far-left |
Carolina Serrão | 6.2% | 1 / 17
|
[11] | |
| CH | Enough! Chega! |
Far-right | Bruno Mascarenhas | 4.4% | 0 / 17
|
[12] | |
| ND | New Right Nova Direita |
Right-wing | Ossanda Liber | — | — | [13] | |
Opinion polling
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | AD | PS | L | CDU | BE | CH | IL | PAN | O | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Legislative election | 18 May 2025 | — | 31.7 (6) |
23.3 (5) |
9.4 (2) |
3.7 (0) |
2.7 (0) |
14.5 (3) |
9.3 (1) |
1.7 (0) |
3.8 (0) |
8.4 |
| 2024 EP election | 9 Jun 2024 | — | 27.9 (5) |
26.7 (5) |
7.5 (1) |
4.9 (1) |
6.1 (1) |
7.6 (1) |
14.7 (3) |
1.4 (0) |
3.2 (0) |
1.2 |
| 2024 Legislative election | 10 Mar 2024 | — | 32.3 (7) |
26.2 (5) |
7.7 (1) |
3.5 (0) |
5.1 (1) |
11.7 (2) |
7.5 (1) |
2.1 (0) |
3.9 (0) |
6.1 |
| 2022 Legislative election | 30 Jan 2022 | — | 29.8 (6) |
36.4 (7) |
3.8 (0) |
4.7 (1) |
4.7 (0) |
5.6 (1) |
10.6 (2) |
1.8 (0) |
2.6 (0) |
6.6 |
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | — | 34.3 7 |
33.3 7 |
10.5 2 |
6.2 1 |
4.4 0 |
4.2 0 |
2.7 0 |
4.4 0 |
1.0 | |
Notes
- ^ Coalition with PSD, IL and CDS–PP.
- ^ a b In the 2021 election, PSD/CDS/MPT/PPM/A had 7 seats and 34.3% of the votes, while IL had 4.2% and failed to elect any seats.
- ^ a b The Socialist Party (PS) and LIVRE (L) contested the 2021 election in a coalition called More Lisbon (ML) and won a combined 33.3% of the vote and elected 7 seats.
References
- ^ a b "Moedas recandidata-se à Câmara de Lisboa. "Ainda tenho muito para dar"". Notícias ao Minuto (in Portuguese). 2025-07-11. Retrieved 2025-06-11.
- ^ a b "PSD e IL têm acordo para candidaturas autárquicas em Lisboa e Porto". Expresso (in Portuguese). 2025-06-05. Retrieved 2025-06-16.
- ^ Begonha, Ana Bacelar (2025-01-15). "Frente de esquerda? BE e Livre acreditam que é possível "fazer caminho" com Alexandra Leitão". PÚBLICO (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2025-01-16.
- ^ Lopes, Ana Sá (2025-01-13). "Alexandra Leitão é a candidata do PS à Câmara de Lisboa". PÚBLICO (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2025-02-16.
- ^ Portugal, Rádio e Televisão de (2021-09-27). "Vitória-surpresa do PSD e direita em Lisboa, PS ganha no país". Vitória-surpresa do PSD e direita em Lisboa, PS ganha no país (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2025-01-14.
- ^ Portugal, Rádio e Televisão de (2021-09-27). "CML. Carlos Moedas vence Lisboa contrariando todas as sondagens". CML. Carlos Moedas vence Lisboa contrariando todas as sondagens (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2025-01-14.
- ^ "::: Lei n.º 169/99, de 18 de Setembro". www.pgdlisboa.pt. Retrieved 2022-02-12.
- ^ ""Alexandra Leitão? Qualquer candidato do PS terá dificuldades em ombrear com Moedas em Lisboa"". SIC Notícias (in Portuguese). 2025-01-13. Retrieved 2025-01-14.
- ^ "Alexandra Leitão é a candidata do PS à Câmara de Lisboa". Expresso (in Portuguese). 2025-01-13. Retrieved 2025-01-14.
- ^ Mesquita, Joana (2024-09-17). "João Ferreira volta a ser o candidato da CDU a Lisboa". PÚBLICO (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2025-01-14.
- ^ Begonha, Ana Bacelar (2025-01-16). "Bloco aponta Carolina Serrão como candidata à Câmara de Lisboa". PÚBLICO (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2025-01-18.
- ^ "Bruno Mascarenhas é o candidato do Chega à Câmara Municipal de Lisboa". SIC Notícias (in Portuguese). 2025-03-09. Retrieved 2025-03-12.
- ^ Lusa, Agência. "Ossanda Líber é candidata do Nova Direita à presidência da Câmara de Lisboa". Observador (in European Portuguese). Retrieved 2025-01-14.