2025 Canadian federal election in Alberta

2025 Canadian federal election in Alberta
April 28, 2025 (2025-04-28)
All 37 Albertan seats in the House of Commons
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Pierre Poilievre Mark Carney Jagmeet Singh
Party Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Leader since September 10, 2022 March 9, 2025 October 1, 2017
Last election 30 seats, 55.3% 2 seats, 15.4% 2 seats, 19.1%
Seats before 30 2 2
Seats won 34 2 1
Seat change 4 0 1
Popular vote 1,436,392 630,442 142,934
Percentage 63.5% 27.9% 6.3%
Swing 8.2% 12.5% 12.8%
Prime minister before election

Mark Carney
Liberal

Prime minister after election

Mark Carney
Liberal

In the 2025 Canadian federal election, 37 members of Parliament were elected to the House of Commons from the province of Alberta making up 10.8% of all members.

2022 electoral redistribution

The 2025 Canadian federal election was the first election to utilize the electoral districts established following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution. The House of Commons increased from 338 seats to 343 seats, with Alberta gaining 3 seats in an increase from 34 to 37. This ensures that the average population per constituency in Alberta is 115,206 (according to the 2021 Canadian census), which is 7,358 more people per electoral district than the national average.[1]

2021 results transposed onto 2023 boundaries
Party MPs
2021 actual result 2021 notional result Change
Conservative 30 34 4
New Democratic 2 2 0
Liberal 2 1 1
Total seats 34 37 3

Timeline

See also: By-elections to the 44th Canadian Parliament
Changes in Albertan seats held (2021–2025)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Calgary Heritage December 12, 2022[2] Bob Benzen █ Conservative Resigned seat July 24, 2023 Shuvaloy Majumdar █ Conservative

Predictions

See also: Opinion polling for the 2025 Canadian federal election
Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[a] 		Sample
size[b] 		Polling method[c] Lead
Leger January 26, 2025 [3] 14 64 16 3 2 1 ± 3.1 pp 1,002 Online 48
Leger August 5, 2024 [4] 14 61 18 3 2 1 ± 3.1 pp 1,005 Online 43
Leger March 24, 2024 [5] 14 60 20 3 2 1 ± 3.1 pp 1,002 Online 40
Mainstreet Research May 2, 2023 [6] 18 55 13 1 3 1 ± 2.5 pp 1,524 Smart IVR 37
Yorkville Strategies March 9, 2022 [7] 18 48 20 4 7 3 ± 4 pp 600 Phone 28

Summary

Source Ranking
Con Lib NDP As of
338Canada[8] 31 5 1 23 April 2025

Results

Summary

The Conservative Party won a significant majority of seats and votes, taking 34 ridings, and winning 63.5% of the popular vote. The Liberal Party came in a distant second, with 2 seats, receiving 27.9% of the popular vote. The NDP fell to a distant third. They received 6.3% of the popular vote, and lost half their seats, securing 1.

The People's Party still won no seats, and saw their support collapse to 0.9% of the vote. The Green party won no seats and their popular vote fell to just 0.4%.

Unlike the 2021 Canadian federal election, the Alberta-based Maverick Party did not contest the 2025 federal election due to them being deregistered by Elections Canada on February 28, 2025.[9]

The Centrist Party, Canadian Future Party, the Christian Heritage Party, the Communist Party, the Libertarian Party, the Marxist-Leninist Party, the United Party of Canada and the Rhino Party, all ran at least one candidate in Alberta in this election and got a combined 0.6% of the vote.

Albertan summary seat results in the 2025 Canadian federal election
Party Votes Vote % Vote +/- Seats Seat +/-
Conservative 1,436,392
63.5%
 8.2pp
34 / 37 (92%)
 4
Liberal 630,442
27.9%
 12.5pp
2 / 37 (5%)
New Democratic 142,934
6.3%
 12.8pp
1 / 37 (3%)
 1
People's 20,257
0.9%
 6.5pp
0 / 37 (0%)
Green 10,103
0.4%
 0.5pp
0 / 37 (0%)
Independent 7,781
0.3%
 pp
0 / 37 (0%)
Other 14,615
0.6%
 pp
0 / 37 (0%)
Total 2,262,524
100%
 –
37 / 37 (100%)
 3[d]

Comparison with national results

Results by party
Party Popular vote % Seats in caucus
AB Natl. diff.
Conservative 63.5 41.3 +22.2
34 / 144 (24%)
Liberal 27.9 43.7 -15.8
2 / 169 (1%)
New Democratic 6.3 6.3 =
1 / 7 (14%)
People's 0.9 0.7 +0.2 no caucus
Green 0.4 1.2 -0.8
0 / 1 (0%)
  Total – – –
37 / 343 (11%)

See also

Notes

  1. ^ In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
  2. ^ Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
  3. ^ "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.
  4. ^ Alberta gained 3 seats in the electoral redistribution.

References

  1. ^ "New House of Commons Seat Allocation" (Press release). Gatineau: Elections Canada. July 8, 2022. Archived from the original on July 8, 2022. Retrieved July 8, 2022.
  2. ^ Wood, Damien (October 20, 2022). "Calgary Heritage MP Bob Benzen to ring in new year with return to private life". CTV News. Retrieved March 21, 2025.
  3. ^ "Government of Alberta Report Card January 2025" (PDF). Leger. February 5, 2025. Retrieved February 6, 2025.
  4. ^ "Government of Alberta Report Card August 2024" (PDF). Leger. August 13, 2024. Retrieved August 16, 2024.
  5. ^ "Government of Alberta Report Card: April 2024" (PDF). Leger. April 5, 2024. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
  6. ^ "Mainstreet Research Survey - Alberta". mainstreetresearch.ca. May 7, 2023. Archived from the original on May 8, 2023. Retrieved May 7, 2023.
  7. ^ "Alberta Ballot Support". Yorkville Strategies. Archived from the original on March 23, 2022. Retrieved March 26, 2022.
  8. ^ "Alberta". 338Canada. Retrieved 23 April 2025.
  9. ^ "Deregistration of the Maverick Party". Elections Canada. March 3, 2025. Retrieved March 21, 2025.
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