44th British Columbia general election
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All 93 seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia 47 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 44th British Columbia general election will elect members of the Legislative Assembly to serve in the 44th Parliament of the Canadian province of British Columbia. The Constitution Act requires that the election be held no later than October 21, 2028, but it may be called earlier.
Date of the election
Section 23 of British Columbia's Constitution Act provides that general elections occur on the third Saturday in October of the fourth calendar year after the last election.[1][2] The previous election was held in 2024; the next election is therefore scheduled for October 21, 2028. The same section, though, makes the fixed election date subject to the lieutenant governor's prerogative to dissolve the Legislative Assembly as they see fit (in practice, on the advice of the premier or following a vote of non-confidence).[1][3]
Background
The 2024 British Columbia general election was held on October 19, 2024. The incumbent New Democratic Party (NDP), led by Premier David Eby, won a narrow majority government, marking their third consecutive term in office.[4] The opposition BC United (formerly the BC Liberals) withdrew shortly before the election and endorsed the Conservative Party, led by John Rustad, who went on to form the official opposition.[5] The Green Party remained steady with two seats, but leader Sonia Furstenau lost her seat.[a][6] On December 13, the NDP and Greens announced a co-operation agreement.[7]
On January 28, 2025, Furstenau announced her resignation as Green Party leader. Jeremy Valeriote was named interim leader while the party organizes a leadership election for September 2025.[8]
Timeline
| Seat | Before | Change | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Member | Party | Reason | Date | Member | Party | |
| Vancouver-Quilchena | March 7, 2025 | Dallas Brodie | █ Conservative | Removed from caucus | █ Independent | ||
| Peace River North | March 7, 2025 | Jordan Kealy | █ Conservative | Left caucus | █ Independent | ||
| Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream | March 7, 2025 | Tara Armstrong | █ Conservative | Left caucus | █ Independent | ||
| Vancouver-Quilchena | June 9, 2025 | Dallas Brodie | █ Independent | Formed new party | █ OneBC | ||
| Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream | June 9, 2025 | Tara Armstrong | █ Independent | Formed new party | █ OneBC | ||
2025
- January 28: Green Party leader Sonia Furstenau announces her intention to resign.[9] West Vancouver-Sea to Sky MLA Jeremy Valeriote is appointed as interim leader.
- March 7: Dallas Brodie is removed from the Conservative caucus for comments about residential schools.[10] Following this, Jordan Kealy and Tara Armstrong leave the Conservative caucus.[11]
- June 9: Dallas Brodie and Tara Armstrong launch a new party called One BC, with Brodie serving as interim leader and Armstrong the house leader.[12][13]
Opinion polling
| Opinion polls | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polling firm | Dates conducted | Source | NDP | Con. | Green | One BC | Centre | Others | Margin of error | Sample size | Polling method | Lead |
| Mainstreet Research | Jun 23–24, 2025 | [14] | 41% | 44% | 7% | — | — | 8% | 3.2% | 943 | Smart IVR | 3% |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Independent MLAs Dallas Brodie and Tara Armstrong form One BC.[15] | |||||||||||
| Research Co. | Jun 7–9, 2025 | [16] | 43% | 42% | 8% | 1%[b] | 2% | 3% | 3.5% | 803 | Online | 1% |
| Leger | May 23–25, 2025 | [17] | 45% | 39% | 11% | — | — | 5% | 3.04% | 1,032 | Online | 6% |
| Liaison Strategies | May 2–4, 2025 | [18] | 45% | 47% | 7% | — | — | 2% | 3.45% | 800 | IVR | 2% |
| Research Co. | Mar 3–5, 2025 | [19] | 44% | 42% | 11% | — | — | 3% | 3.5% | 802 | Online | 2% |
| Pallas Data | Feb 15, 2025 | [20] | 48.8% | 40.7% | 7.6% | — | — | 2.9% | 3.8% | 677 | IVR | 7.1% |
| Leger | Jan 24–26, 2025 | [21] | 44% | 42% | 10% | — | — | 4% | 3.1% | 1,001 | Online | 2% |
| 2024 general election | Oct 19, 2024 | 44.9% | 43.3% | 8.2% | — | — | 3.6% | — | 2,107,152 | Election | 1.6% | |
References
- Notes
- ^ Furstenau was the incumbent MLA for Cowichan Valley but stood in Victoria-Beacon Hill in 2020.
- ^ Poll asked about a prospective party with independent MLAs Dallas Brodie, Jordan Kealy, and Tara Armstrong. One BC was announced after this poll was conducted.
- Sources
- ^ a b Constitution Act, s. 23.
- ^ Shaw, Rob (October 4, 2017). "NDP changes B.C.'s fixed election date from May to October". Vancouver Sun. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
- ^ Zussman, Richard (May 26, 2017). "Christy Clark gets 1st chance to govern, but how long can it last?". CBC News.
- ^ Larsen, Karin (October 28, 2024). "B.C. lieutenant-governor asks NDP Leader David Eby to form government". CBC News. Retrieved May 2, 2025.
- ^ Dickson, Courtney (November 2, 2024). "From the shadows to the spotlight: Conservative surge shakes up B.C. politics". CBC News. Retrieved May 2, 2025.
- ^ Kulkarni, Akshay (22 October 2024). "B.C. Greens mull role of potential kingmaker after tight election". CBC News. Retrieved 30 January 2025.
- ^ Larsen, Karin (13 December 2024). "B.C. NDP and B.C. Greens announce co-operation agreement". CBC News. Retrieved 28 January 2025.
- ^ DeRosa, Katie; Kurjata, Andrew (28 January 2025). "Sonia Furstenau stepping down as B.C. Green Party leader". CBC News. Retrieved 28 January 2025.
- ^ Madtha, Rippon (2025-01-28). "Sonia Furstenau Steps Down as Leader of the BC Greens". BC Green Party. Retrieved 2025-01-28.
- ^ Kurjata, Andrew (March 7, 2025). "B.C. Conservative leader kicks Dallas Brodie out of caucus for 'mocking' residential school testimony". CBC News. Retrieved 7 March 2025.
- ^ Kurjata, Andrew (March 7, 2025). "2 MLAs defect from B.C. Conservative Party following Dallas Brodie's ouster". CBC News. Retrieved 7 March 2025.
- ^ Page, Mark (12 June 2025). "Former Conservative MLA Dallas Brodie to lead new B.C. political party". Keremos Review. Black Press Media. Retrieved 12 June 2025.
- ^ Johansen, Nicholas (12 June 2025). "Kelowna MLA part of new BC political party". Castanet. Retrieved 12 June 2025.
- ^ "Mainstreet Research Survey - British Columbia" (PDF). Mainstreet Research. 25 June 2025. Retrieved 26 June 2025.
- ^ DeRosa, Katie (13 June 2025). "2 MLAs form new B.C. political party that courts social conservatives". CBC News. Retrieved 14 June 2025.
- ^ Canseco, Mario (16 June 2025). "Little Change in British Columbia Politics, Even With New Parties". Research Co. Retrieved 16 June 2025.
- ^ "Government of British Columbia Report Card: June 2025" (PDF). Leger. 12 June 2025. Retrieved 12 June 2025.
- ^ "BC: Conservatives Lead NDP, 47% to 45%". Liaison Strategies. 7 May 2025. Retrieved 7 May 2025.
- ^ "British Columbia's Political Scene Remains Closely Contested". Research Co. 11 March 2025. Retrieved 11 March 2025.
- ^ "British Columbia Provincial Voting Intentions" (PDF). Pallas Data. 18 February 2025. Retrieved 7 March 2025.
- ^ "Government of British Columbia Report Card January 2025" (PDF). Leger. Leger. 5 February 2025. Retrieved 6 February 2025.